HOW TO USE THE ADX INDICATOR - 2020 TUTORIAL

Shorting Noobs - Style Adaptions and the Search for Sustainability

Shorting Noobs - Style Adaptions and the Search for Sustainability
Part [1] [2] [3] [4]

So in the first week of this an account initially funded with $10,000 got to around $40,000 / $45,000, but it was wild. The drawdown swings were large. Equity swings were what I would describe as problematic. My broker agreed. I got a call from them and it went a bit like this;

"Hi, Whatthefx (yes, me and the broker are on first name terms). One of your new accounts has done a lot volume this week. I was wondering if you're going to continue to trade so aggressively? Can we expect the same volume this week?"

I replied; "Of course not. I started last week with $10,000 and now there is $40,000. It would be fair to assume I will trade four times as much volume this week".

They advised me if I did this, in the near future we'd be having a discussion about re-evaluating how much leverage the broker would offer me. I told them I could not believe they'd speak to me like this after all we'd been through. "You've changed, man" I ruefully muttered into the phone. He told me risk compliance was getting edgy, and they felt the best solution would be to reduce my leverage. I told them to a hammer everything looks like a nail. They told me this hammer was about to come down.

Long story short, compromises has to be made.

I decided to split accounts and reduce risk acceptance on both of them (dramatically on the larger of the two accounts). I started an account with $25,000 running a very similar but slightly watered down version of the initial strategy. I then started another account with $50,000 and used this to trade against people who consistently bet against trending moves.

Vrs scalpers results:


https://preview.redd.it/f2ixgaz8lsh31.png?width=923&format=png&auto=webp&s=2aa495b2df70e32cd49d7ce6786a8dac652c928c

As a recovered "Trend doubter", I understand the mindset of people who fade the trend too aggressively. There is a fine line between being an effective contrarian and just being dumb enough to think you're smarter than the entire market. When you're the latter, you come to learn the infallible truth in the saying "A fool and his money are soon separated".

I take a bit of time to snoop on those I am reverse copying from. Through some statistical analysis and good old fashioned reading through their feeds on platforms they promote themselves I seek out the ones who have die hard doubt on the existence of strong trends and also with some ingrained belief that the fib levels are irrelevant.

I find the ones most die hard against these things. It's easier to find committed doubters of fibs than it is of trends. I find those who are the most extreme on this bell curve. Some of them are practically evangelical about how sceptical they are of fibs. I take these people and pay particular attention to their trades. Most specifically I run analysis to see how the trades they make at important fib levels perform. I have a few I look at but the most important one for basic trend following is the 61.8% fib (explained in previous post).

I find an extremely high correlation between the people who know so much better than us who like to use fibs and them consistently making losing trades at important fib levels.

https://preview.redd.it/vxu0ehnrlsh31.png?width=266&format=png&auto=webp&s=cc5692b1677ae4a4af1c5ac7c177c4f3cc6680b3

This is all I need to feel confident sticking some money on this. I make some filters to allow me to copy their mistakes and dodge the times they are more likely to be correct. I add some other ways to identify strong trends. I include some aspects of ATR, ADX and MAs. I also do some lot sizes rules to prevent them from martingaling against me. I do not want to let them accumulate larger and larger positions against me on the slight breakouts of the 61.8% level, because there is a high chance of there being a retest of that level. If they close all their positions there, this will give me a net loss.


Vrs trend faders results:

https://preview.redd.it/bz7mp4xelsh31.png?width=913&format=png&auto=webp&s=91f17d291a135a772bbf5048a72b038fcba0c5a4
submitted by whatthefx to Forex [link] [comments]

Tried to make a living out of Forex...Broke the account in the second month.

So, a few months back I saved some money and decided that I would be able to make a living out of forex making 12.5% per week, that was 2.5% per day from monday to friday.
I had been in the Forex for six month in that time, with only $100 dollars account, and I had broke my account twice (One for not putting Stop-Loss and the other for not controlling my loss in revenge anger) But in the end I managed to make three months in a row making about 40-50% per month, and that was to me the sign that I had figured Forex.
I used a combination of MACD, RSI, ADX. And always kept the lookout for the candlestick patterns, I also used Bollinger bands, but I never really checked them. My main Indicator though was the MACD, the rest was the confirmation I required. I negotiated only EURUSD and I worked with a 1:100 margin using a policy to hold 2,5% SL if I wasn't cofindent in the play but the indicators were saying I should go, and 5% if I was confident and the Indicators confirmed. I've made arrangements in my job and I saved enough money to live the way I am for one year and to put $2.000 in my Forex Account. My plan was to only start taking money out of the account after six months of gains.
I quit my job in June, and 4th of July I started trading. First month I did well and got 50% even before the second week of the month, in the end of July I had $3.475,68 in my account. My confidence was high as was my spirit, everybody I talked too I would say how I found way to do something I loved and if I could keep my goals I would be a millionaire in less than five years; To everyone saying It was very risky I showed my gains from the first month and said I knew what I was doing.
And then August came. First week of August I had three losses in a row, amounting to $400, and so I decided to take a quick break. One week reading and searching for what was wrong. When I cameback I had in me belief that I was going to make a good position on EURUSD. I don't know what I was thinking but I opened a position and I spike on the otherway around made me shiver so I moved the SL, believing it would eventually go the way I was planning; That day I went to bed and woke up with $1.000 less in my account, I was back to my starting $2.000 pretty much.
What followed this week was the worst series of trade I ever did, each one pushing to lose even more. First I did a series of trades that downed me to $1.500, than I did a big trade that put me at $800, I managed to land a very good trade that took me all the way back to $1.400 and trying to duplicate the miracle I lost $800 in one single trade. Yesterday I lost $500 and right now I have $72 in my account.
I don't know what I was thinking, I completely lost any of the things that made my set-up work, and now I've lost any chance to go back to where I started. I was overconfident and angry, and I know I have only myself to blame. I just needed to vent it to someone, and the worst part is that I'm ashamed to tell the people I've been bragging about the past month, to admit that I was not only wrong, but I lost everything on it as well. Guess I'l have to go back looking for a job and just suck it up.
Thank you for reading all this way, and sorry for any grammar mistakes, I'm actually from Brazil and my english is not that good.
submitted by LooserLooser to Forex [link] [comments]

About to start trading for the first time. Anyone wanna talk?

I don't really have any specific questions, just looking for general advice. Well, maybe one...see the bottom.
I've gone through most of the babypips school, and just finished reading Courtney Smith's book.
I have somewhat of a bit of background in game theory due to hobbies (I was one of the better players in the country in the national tournament scene of a certain video game, and have close friends who have been ranked in chess and poker who I have been playing with and learned a lot of game theory from), and tend to prefer boring, "turtle" strategies.
I considered scalping, but I don't think it will fit my lifestyle (time consuming). So, I'm probably going to look at position trading the daily charts, and I'll start mostly with the methods from the book I was reading. I want to be as disciplined as possible- picking entry/exit points before entering the trade, doing as much of it automatically via stops as possible (which I will look at and adjust only according to TA), and looking at my positions once per day. No emotion.
On a long flight yesterday I finally sat down and wrote up a trading plan, buying on a few techniques, all of which have set stops.
I'll calculate my position size so that if I am stopped out (stops based on technical analysis) I will lose 1% of my account value. This also means that positions with wide stops will not be very profitable.
I will write down every trade and what signal I used to make the trade. Every thirty trades, I'll eliminate my worst-performing signal and replace it with a different one, and see how I do.
I did some backtesting on EUUSD over the first few months of 2009. Trading on inside days seemed profitable, as well as reversal days. Channel breakouts were iffy...I used the ADX filter to exit, and that let me exit at really good times, but because the stops were too wide (for long position, I was buying at 55 day high breakout and setting stop to 20-day low breakout) I was barely making any money off of it and that was wiped out by the bad trades. I need to figure out where I can place tighter stops on Channel Breakouts without removing too many winning trades. My biggest concern is that inside days seemed too consistent...I usually made almost as much money as I was risking on my stop every time I did it, barring one or two times where I basically broke even. Seems like a couple losing trades could've set me back pretty quickly and I should be seeing more.
I should probably do more backtesting, but I feel a trial by fire would work better. I'll probably just set the risk to 0.5% instead of 1% and start a very small account and see how it does (I'd have to lose hundreds of trades in a row to get wiped out).
Am I doing this right?
And, the real question- what broker should I use?
Right now I'm looking at Oanda. I saw a poster saying good things about IB and I'd rather use Ninjatrader because I hate MT 4, so I might look at shifting over to them when I have more money, but I don't have $25k liquid cash available to open an account with them. Oanda's flexibility with position size seems ideal for my ~1% risk on stop plan.
However, the more I read about Forex brokers, the more nervous I get...they seem to make money when you lose and engage in all kinds of unscrupulous tactics like stop-hunting, slippage failing to trigger stops, and raising the spreads during big moves. Feels more like playing against the house than trading. This alone makes me feel tempted to go trade stock options instead with the same plan and see if that works. Thoughts?
submitted by NPPraxis to Forex [link] [comments]

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How To Use ADX For Breakout Trades. Heading back to the Bitcoin price chart, I used a vertical line to show where ADX has fallen below the trending cutoff point. During the scan, we find the indicator showing a weak or non existent trend (range conditions) and in doing so, we look for a consolidation structure for breakout trading. I have used dashed green lines to mark off the high and low of ... ADX Strategy – How to Use the ADX in Forex Trading. This is the second article in our ADX series. If you haven’t already we suggest that your check out the first article about the ADX Indicator. In that article, we covered the history of the “Average Directional Movement Index”, or “ADX”, indicator, how it is calculated, and how it looks on a chart. The ADX indicator will typically ... How to Use ADX to Identify Forex Trends. 2013-08-29 02:53:00 Rob Pasche, Forex Trading Instructor. Share: Article Summary: The Average Directional Index (ADX) rates how much a currency pair is ... To use the ADX indicator in the Forex Market, you have to develop a strategy that uses the ADX to filter the trend. ADX – TRADER JOHN TUTORIAL FOR BEGINNERS. The Directional Movement (DMI), conceived by the famous technical analyst Welles Wilder, is an indicator that allows you to identify the first direction followed by prices. The indicator, which is usually calculated over 14 periods ... In order to reduce risk and increase the potential profit, most traders utilize the strategy of trading in the direction of strong trends. One of the forex indicators that allow traders to determine the price trend is the Average Directional Index or ADX.Many even consider it to be the most useful trend strength indicator, and for good reason too.In this guide, we examine ADX, its history ... Traders use the index to determine if a trend will extend or gradually lose its strength, valuable information when setting entry and exit levels in the forex market. The ADX can also be classified as an “oscillator” since the various curves produced fluctuate between values of zero and 100. The “signal” line of the indicator rarely goes above 60, but values below 20 indicate a weak ... The ADX Forex Trading Strategy is based on the forex indicator called the Average Directional Index (ADX). This forex trading strategy requires the following:. Timeframes: use 15mins and above Currency Pair: Any Indcators: ADX & 14 EMA Here’s what you should know about the Average Directional Index Indicator: The ADX indicator is used to measures the strength of a trend and this can be ...

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HOW TO TRADE WITH "ADX" INDICATOR - YouTube

How to use the ADX idicator. This feature is not available right now. Please try again later. how to best ADX And Stochastics forex trading strategies 2018 Welcome Friends to 's Biggest Technical Analysis Youtube Channel Our Dream is to make you an Expert in Trading any Market, be it ... (ADX) Indicator + Moving Average Forex Trading StrategyTwo EMA + ADXBest Strategy What is the ADX indicator? The Average Directional Index (ADX) Indicator,... All about Trading in Forex and Binary Option Marked. HOW TO TRADE WITH ADX INDICATOR ----- Disclaimer: Videos and other ma... The ADX (average directional index) is an indicator that shows you how strong a trend is. The ADX gives you a reading that generally ranges between 0 and 50. The higher the reading, the stronger ... Learn what is ADX and how to use this indicator in your trading. For more forex education check https://www.youtube.com/ukspreadbetting Follow Us On Twitter:... Watch our video to learn how to correctly analyze ADX signals, how to analyze the market by taking into account the Average Directional Movement (ADX) indica...

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